Thursday, August 10, 2006

Drought - price of oil barrel - Finnish country side...

It's bloody dry outside this year... surprisingly our neighbourhood's trees have not been suffering about it. Bees have found our Sunflowers.

In Pihtipudas Marja was reading (aloud .... and especially during our looong breakfast sessions) an interesting book about "History of extinction of the cultures" (or something like that). We had many interesting thoughts around how places/cultures have been destroyed over relatively short time period and how vulnerable we are after all "even" today for any major enviromental changes. I also saw a BBC (?) document about fall of Mayas were explained the current understading that it was actually a very unfortunate climate fenomemas which eventually lead to destruction of the empire - 30 years of dryness followed by 30 years of flooding or something like that ...
I wonder how we would (or will) actully with all our modern fantastic technologies survive years of global dryness in key food production areas (mid west in US, middle EU, ...) ?

I also had quite interesting discussion with Sauli (our "next door", long time (for 40 years) neighbour farmer) about what's going on in Finnish/EU agriculture politics. He claimed that at the moment food that is shipped to us in Finland from middle EU is actually mostly over production aka subsidised aka not baring the right price label. Leaving the price issues on their own, my personal favorite basic worry still remains - what if the current EU over production would "disapper" due eg to longer dry season in main EU farm lands ? ... This combined to the fact that price of oil barrel will just keep rising - how much will a kilo of oh so precious barley needed to brew my beer cost when over production is over (due to inevitabel climate change) and when an oil barrel will cost 100USD (equally inevitable on 5 year basis) ?

I wouldn't really care (not completely true) if there would not be Otto,Vili&Valtteri to be thought of ... having your own kids makes you think how their life will be after we are gone.
I sure hope that the current global economy illusion ("free"/very cheap transportation of goods from lowest possible production site to anywhere) will not lead our society to short shightly run down our own country side and force those few still earger to wake up at 5am to milk the cows with practically no holidays to move to cities and abandon the real stuff - crucial food production for the rest of us doing other stuff to keep other things rolling.
I'm afraid we will need our own production sooner than we notice.

Btw, it's quite "funny" to read/hear media talk about how oil price is now "catastropically" high and should come down.. why would it ever anymore really ? On the contrary it should just keep rising since every year we need to move to more challengign areas/depths to pump it.

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